There are still more than six months to go before the next Philippines election in May 2022, but the horse-trading and behind-the-scenes machinations are hotting up. Incumbent president, the right-wing strongman Rodrigo Duterte, is banned by the constitution from standing for the presidency again next year – he did considerContinue Reading

A graph showing that the popularity of Christian democratic parties has declined more sharply than other types of conservative party since the 1980s

As a species, we humans are inveterate pattern makers. We’re also plagued by recency bias – the tendency to give more weight to things that have only just happened. Hardly surprising, then, that when analysing party politics, we tend to take the results of the latest elections and try toContinue Reading